During trading session on Friday, the Japanese currency hit its two-week low, as the investors became more confident regarding the development pace of the decline in global economy. This caused more appetite among investors for trading riskier currencies.
Here are some suggestions for traders, planning to be active during foreign exchange market activities on Thursday. Although the market is not very active these days due to official holiday in Asia, there are many trades providing possibility for good income.
Euro: Traders should react, if the euro consecutively closes above, as it is usually done. The level of 1.3430 is the one which should receive attention from traders.
On Wednesday dollar went down against all major currencies, besides yen, as the risk aversion eased, as the economic data from the United States was much stronger than it was expected, which moved backwards concerns about the US banking sector and the spreading of swine flu.
The growth figures of the first quarter are about to be announced, so there are still some worries remaining about the impact of this information on the market. The United States Federal Reserve also has to announce its future policy today.
On Tuesday morning US trading both the dollar and the pound of sterling reversed its losses. The euro was able to hit $1.3063, but at the same time it reached its lowest in seven weeks against the Japanese Yen, selling at Y124.38.
The pound of sterling hit its highs versus the American dollar, trading at $1.4685. The pound was supported by the government report of sales volumes of British retailers, which in April jumped for the first time since January 2008 to unexpectedly high level.
On Tuesday, April 28th, the Central Bank of Brazil informed that it is planning to offer unspecified sum of the American dollar for repurchase of agreements during an auction on Wednesday, April 29th. As reported by the CB of Brazil, this will be in part as a continuous effort done by the Central Bank, performed in order to add more liquidity to the local financial system.
The Central Bank of Brazil indicated that in the nearest future it is planning to offer repos that will have separate three maturities, and the auctions will happen on June 1st, July 1st and August 3rd.
Analysts from the Wall Street have the ability to be the most effective forecasters, who are able to predict the movements of the market for near and sometimes even for the far future. Analyzing the Monday news, analysts from the Wall Street have made some stock market predictions.
Market analysis is an important indicator, which influences the market of foreign currency exchange greatly. Consumption indicator is a big factor in economic evaluation of country evaluation, and therefore evaluation of the currency rates of this country.
Consumption indicator is used to measure services and goods, which are aimed at personal consumers of which are consumed by individuals. This indicator is effective and very important in the process of assessment of consumer sentiment in an economy, which is mostly based on services.
The European currency is further declining versus both the dollar and the yen. Other risk-sensitive currencies have also been affected by the risk aversions, connected with the swine flu spreading and how it will affect the process of economic recovery around the world.
On Monday morning the euro fell significantly (after reaching its high on Friday around $1.3300) to $1.3093 and 126.55 against the Yen. But the Mexican peso is still the most affected currency.
Major tendencies of the day:
Yen is strengthening against all major currencies, including the US dollar due to slump in American economy.
Euro fell against both the dollar and the yen, reaching its one-week lowest, due to speculations of the fact the interest rates will be lowered by the Central Bank of Europe.
One of the reasons why Japanese Yen rose versus the dollar is because Lawrence Summers informed that the American economy will keep the shrinkage. The Yen also strengthened against all other major currencies, as it is well-isolated from the spreading of the swine flu.
The American dollar and the Japanese Yen are much higher on the risk aversions related with the swine flu disease, while the concerns are growing regarding the possible impact of the swine flu spreading on the world economy, as well as economies of certain countries, who are the most affected by the flu (Mexico is on top of the list, as the outbreak of the disease happened in the country and over 80 people are already dead, followed by New Zealand and possibly Australia).
As for April 27th, the Japanese Yen and the Swiss franc are considered safe-haven currencies, which will most likely be on the rise. The riskier dollar currencies, like the New Zealand and Australian dollar are already falling and will keep falling all day.
Some experts think that for this week Germany will cause some weakening of the Euro, as it has been reported over the weekend, that the country’s system of banking owns over 1 trillion of USD worth of risky assets.
The euro versus the US dollar pair has been showing significant instability during the past week. As a result of different market changes and new information about the situation in the economy of both countries made the euro reach to 1.3300 by the end of the week. The level of 1.3300 is currently coincing with approximately one major downtrend line of resistance of 1.6, which extends all the way back to July.
The next week, from April 27th till May 1st, we will be able to see the euro/usd figures at a critical juncture.
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Forex futures markets in Argentina are thinking over a plan regarding merging of operations of the Rosario Grain Exchange and the Buenos Aires Cereals Exchange, which should result into bolstering of the market of local derivatives.
The two companies, working in the area of exchanges, one in the dominate grain, other in the futures foreign exchange trading, have hired a consultant to review the possibility of integrating and uniting the two companies into one market.
The Indian rupee today (December 17) extended its gains against the greenback for the third day in succession by closing higher by another 25 paise at 47.66/67 though it could not keep up with the surge it saw in early trade.
The domestic unit had gained over 60 paise in the morning on hopes of fresh capital inflows following rate cut by the US Federal Reserve amid weak dollar overseas. There has been intense anticipation of inflow of dollars for the past three days which saw the rupee rose by 79 paise or 1.63 per cent.